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http://hdl.handle.net/1893/36258
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DC Field | Value | Language |
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dc.contributor.author | Aslan, Ibrahim Halil | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Pourtois, Julie D | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Chamberlin, Andrew J | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Mitchell, Kaitlyn R | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Mari, Lorenzo | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Lwiza, Kamazima M | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Wood, Chelsea L | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Mordecai, Erin A | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Yu, Ao | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Tuan, Roseli | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Palasio, Raquel Gardini Sanches | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Monteiro, Antônio M V | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Little, David C. | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Ozretich, Reed W. | en_UK |
dc.contributor.author | Norman, Rachel | en_UK |
dc.contributor.editor | Coffeng, Luc E | en_UK |
dc.date.accessioned | 2024-10-03T00:11:11Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2024-10-03T00:11:11Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2024-06-10 | en_UK |
dc.identifier.other | e0011836 | en_UK |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/1893/36258 | - |
dc.description.abstract | The geographical range of schistosomiasis is affected by the ecology of schistosome parasites and their obligate host snails, including their response to temperature. Previous models predicted schistosomiasis’ thermal optimum at 21.7°C, which is not compatible with the temperature in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) regions where schistosomiasis is hyperendemic. We performed an extensive literature search for empirical data on the effect of temperature on physiological and epidemiological parameters regulating the free-living stages of S. mansoni and S. haematobium and their obligate host snails, i.e., Biomphalaria spp. and Bulinus spp., respectively. We derived nonlinear thermal responses fitted on these data to parameterize a mechanistic, process-based model of schistosomiasis. We then re-cast the basic reproduction number and the prevalence of schistosome infection as functions of temperature. We found that the thermal optima for transmission of S. mansoni and S. haematobium range between 23.1–27.3°C and 23.6–27.9°C (95% CI) respectively. We also found that the thermal optimum shifts toward higher temperatures as the human water contact rate increases with temperature. Our findings align with an extensive dataset of schistosomiasis prevalence in SSA. The refined nonlinear thermal-response model developed here suggests a more suitable current climate and a greater risk of increased transmission with future warming for more than half of the schistosomiasis suitable regions with mean annual temperature below the thermal optimum. | en_UK |
dc.language.iso | en | en_UK |
dc.publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) | en_UK |
dc.relation | Aslan IH, Pourtois JD, Chamberlin AJ, Mitchell KR, Mari L, Lwiza KM, Wood CL, Mordecai EA, Yu A, Tuan R, Palasio RGS, Monteiro AMV, Little DC, Ozretich RW & Norman R (2024) Re-assessing thermal response of schistosomiasis transmission risk: Evidence for a higher thermal optimum than previously predicted. Coffeng LE (Editor) <i>PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases</i>, 18 (6), Art. No.: e0011836. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0011836 | en_UK |
dc.rights | Copyright: © 2024 Aslan et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. | en_UK |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | en_UK |
dc.title | Re-assessing thermal response of schistosomiasis transmission risk: Evidence for a higher thermal optimum than previously predicted | en_UK |
dc.type | Journal Article | en_UK |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1371/journal.pntd.0011836 | en_UK |
dc.identifier.pmid | 38857289 | en_UK |
dc.citation.jtitle | PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases | en_UK |
dc.citation.issn | 1935-2735 | en_UK |
dc.citation.volume | 18 | en_UK |
dc.citation.issue | 6 | en_UK |
dc.citation.publicationstatus | Published | en_UK |
dc.citation.peerreviewed | Refereed | en_UK |
dc.type.status | VoR - Version of Record | en_UK |
dc.contributor.funder | NERC Natural Environment Research Council | en_UK |
dc.author.email | rachel.norman@stir.ac.uk | en_UK |
dc.citation.date | 10/06/2024 | en_UK |
dc.description.notes | Additional authors: Devin Kirk; Tejas S. Athni; Susanne H. Sokolow; Eliezer K. N’Goran; Nana R. Diakite; Mamadou Ouattara; Marino Gatto; Renato Casagrandi; Fiona Allan; Andrew S. Brierley; Ping Liu,Thiago A. Pereira; Giulio A. De Leo | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | Stanford University | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | Stanford University | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | Stanford University | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | Stanford University | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | Politecnico di Milano | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | Stony Brook University | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | University of Washington | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | Stanford University | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | Stanford University | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | University of Sao Paulo | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | University of Sao Paulo | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | National Institute for Space Research | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | Institute of Aquaculture | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | Institute of Aquaculture | en_UK |
dc.contributor.affiliation | Mathematics | en_UK |
dc.identifier.isi | WOS:001246174900001 | en_UK |
dc.identifier.scopusid | 2-s2.0-85197357537 | en_UK |
dc.identifier.wtid | 2037605 | en_UK |
dc.contributor.orcid | 0000-0002-9188-167X | en_UK |
dc.contributor.orcid | 0000-0002-6095-3191 | en_UK |
dc.contributor.orcid | 0000-0002-3629-0295 | en_UK |
dc.contributor.orcid | 0000-0002-7398-6064 | en_UK |
dc.date.accepted | 2024-05-23 | en_UK |
dcterms.dateAccepted | 2024-05-23 | en_UK |
dc.date.filedepositdate | 2024-09-26 | en_UK |
dc.relation.funderproject | Integrated risk mapping and targetted snail control to support schistosomiasis elimination in Brazil and Cote d'Ivoire under future climate change | en_UK |
dc.relation.funderref | NE/T013710/1 | en_UK |
rioxxterms.apc | not required | en_UK |
rioxxterms.type | Journal Article/Review | en_UK |
rioxxterms.version | VoR | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Aslan, Ibrahim Halil|0000-0002-9188-167X | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Pourtois, Julie D| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Chamberlin, Andrew J| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Mitchell, Kaitlyn R| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Mari, Lorenzo| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Lwiza, Kamazima M| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Wood, Chelsea L| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Mordecai, Erin A| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Yu, Ao| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Tuan, Roseli| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Palasio, Raquel Gardini Sanches| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Monteiro, Antônio M V| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Little, David C.|0000-0002-6095-3191 | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Ozretich, Reed W.|0000-0002-3629-0295 | en_UK |
local.rioxx.author | Norman, Rachel|0000-0002-7398-6064 | en_UK |
local.rioxx.project | NE/T013710/1|Natural Environment Research Council|http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000270 | en_UK |
local.rioxx.contributor | Coffeng, Luc E| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.freetoreaddate | 2024-09-26 | en_UK |
local.rioxx.licence | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/|2024-09-26| | en_UK |
local.rioxx.filename | journal.pntd.0011836.pdf | en_UK |
local.rioxx.filecount | 1 | en_UK |
local.rioxx.source | 1935-2735 | en_UK |
Appears in Collections: | Aquaculture Journal Articles |
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File | Description | Size | Format | |
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journal.pntd.0011836.pdf | Fulltext - Published Version | 2.49 MB | Adobe PDF | View/Open |
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